Workshop on Nonstationarity, Hydrologic Frequency Analysis, and Water Management


Agenda (Original PDF: Download)

Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Introduction
  8:00 Welcome & Introductions Problem of Non-Stationarity in Water Management - Three Perspectives
  8:15 Robert Hirsch A Perspective on non-Stationarity and Water Management
8:35 Jerry Webb
  8:50 Gene Stakhiv Decison making for Climate Adaptation in the Water Sector
Current Methods
  9:05 Beth Faber Current Methods for Hydrologic Frequency Analysis
   9:20 Rolf Olsen Current Methods for Water Resources Planning
Nonstationarity and water management
  10:05 Nate Snorteland Nonstationarity and Dam Safety
  10:25 Pat Foley Red River of the North Flood Frequency Estimation
Statistical Methods - Data analysis
  10:45 Harry Lins and Tim Cohn Problems with Trend Analysis
   11:10 Demetris Koutsoyiannis Hurst-Kolomogorov Processes and Uncertainty,
  11:35 Gabriele Villarini Analysis of the stationarity of flood peaks in the U.S.
Statistical Methods - Frequency Analysis
  Faber pdf 1:15 Jery Stedinger Cornell University
  Faber pdf 1:40 Balaji Rajagopalan University of Colorado
  Faber pdf 2:05 Taha Ouarda Institut national de la recherche scientifique (INRS), Canada
  Faber pdf 2:30 Geoffrey Bonnin Nonstationarity in Precipitation Frequency-Duration Estimates
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Future Climate and Hydrologic Variability - Interpreting Climate Model Information
  8:00 Levi Brekke Model ensembles to distributions
  8:25 Mike Dettinger Possible changes to flood populations, inferred from climate projections
  8:50 David Raff Flood frequency based on climate projections
  9:15 Dave Stainforth Difficulties in Calibrating GCMs and Deriving Forecast Probabilities / Estimating Uncertainty...
Decision-making Challenges with Nonstationarity
  10:35 Casey Brown Engineering with unreliable frequency estimates
  11:00 Robert Lempert Robust decision making
  11:25 Marc Waage Nonstationary Water Planning Methods
Approaches to Nonstationarty
  1:20 Jim Prairie Planning Hydrology based on Blends of Instrumental Records, Paleoclimate, and Projected...
  1:45 Jeff Yang Precipitation Nonstationarity Effects on Water Infrastructure and Risk Management
  2:10 Nigel Arnell United Kingdom Climate Change Adaptation
Friday, January 15, 2010
International Perspectives on Nonstationarity
  Ken Strzepek World Bank representative
  Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Polish Academy of Sciences
  Kuniyoshi Takeuchi International Center for Water Hazards and Risk Management
Panel Discussion: Workshop summary
  Dennis Lettenmaier University of Washington
  Richard Vogel Tufts University
  Gerry Galloway University of Maryland